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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · SEPTEMBER 09, 2026

Colorado Rockies vs New York Yankees

Colorado Rockies @ New York Yankees · 7:05 PM ET
LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -236 Units: 0u
68 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
New York Yankees
LEAN
Best Odds
-236
Avg: -250
Units
0u
LEAN
Game Time
7:05 PM ET
September 09, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKStrong
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKStrong
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKModerate
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKModerate
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
Colorado Rockies
Tomoyuki Sugano (R)
5.19
ERA
1.35
WHIP
5.40
K/9
2.05
BB/9
Cold
131.2 IP this season
vs
HOME
New York Yankees
Will Warren (R)
4.16
ERA
1.38
WHIP
8.78
K/9
3.10
BB/9
Neutral
136.1 IP this season

Situational Analysis

Colorado Rockies FORM
Cold
New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Colorado Rockies — Last 103-7 Away: 25-48
New York Yankees — Last 106-4 Home: 38-31
Travel RiskLow
Rest AdvantageNeutral
Colorado Rockies Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

74.5°F
Temperature
9.1 mph
Wind S
2%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Pitcher Friendly
Park Effect
Venue: Yankee Stadium

Supporting Signals

  • Good market coverage across books
  • 8 preferred books covering the game
  • Heavy public backing (92% bets) for pick
  • Pitching matchup favors pick — Will Warren 5/10 vs 2/10
  • Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.08 vs 4.78
  • Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
  • Opponent struggling recently
  • Run differential edge last 10: +18 vs -4
  • Offense hot — 5.0 runs/game last 14 days
  • Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • Heavy juice on favorite
  • Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • Conditions favor pitchers/under

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Strong public backing and favorable pitching matchup, but heavy juice and bullpen usage are concerns.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
LEAN
Yankees show legitimate edge via home form (6-4), bullpen advantage (3.08 vs 4.78 ERA), and pitching matchup (Warren 5/1
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 3
LEAN
Heavy juice on the favorite with money% equal to bets% provides no sharp confirmation, limiting unit size despite solid
Rec: 0.5u

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