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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · AUGUST 25, 2026

Houston Astros vs New York Yankees

Houston Astros @ New York Yankees · 7:06 PM ET

STANDARD Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -138 Units: 0.25u

70 /100

AI Score

Our Pick

New York Yankees

LEAN

Best Odds

-138

Avg: -143

Units

0.25u

STANDARD PICK

Game Time

7:06 PM ET

August 25, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score

Market Consensus

OKStrong

Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.

Sharp vs Public

OKStrong

Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.

Pitching Matchup

OKModerate

Quality and recent form of both probable starters.

Situational

OKStrong

Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.

Offensive Matchup

OKModerate

How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.

Weather & Park

OKStrong

Game-time weather and park factor.

AI Panel Review

OKModerate

Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY

Houston Astros

Ethan Pecko (R)

4.91

ERA

1.64

WHIP

9.82

K/9

7.36

BB/9

Cold

3.2 IP this season

HOME

New York Yankees

Will Warren (R)

4.43

ERA

1.40

WHIP

9.00

K/9

3.17

BB/9

Neutral

122.0 IP this season

Situational Analysis

Houston Astros FORM

Cold

New York Yankees FORM

Hot

Houston Astros — Last 10	4-6 Away: 32-31
New York Yankees — Last 10	6-4 Home: 33-28
Travel Risk	Low
Rest Advantage	Neutral
Houston Astros Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

68.7°F

Temperature

3.4 mph

Wind SW

Rain Prob.

Low

Weather Risk

Neutral

Park Effect

Venue: Yankee Stadium

Supporting Signals

✓Strong multi-book market consensus
✓7 preferred books covering the game
✓Heavy public backing (88% bets) for pick
✓Pitching matchup favors pick — Will Warren 3/10 vs 1/10
✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 2.97 vs 4.05
✓Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
✓Opponent struggling recently
✓Run differential edge last 10: +10 vs -16
✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI Model 1

LEAN

Strong market consensus and public backing, but moderate bullpen usage raises concerns.

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 2

LEAN

Yankees show legitimate edge: sharp money signal (92% vs 88% bets), favorable pitching matchup (Warren 4.43 ERA/1.40 WHI

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 3

APPROVE

Sharp money confirmation (92% money > 88% bets) plus home form, bullpen ERA edge (2.97 vs 4.05), and pitching matchup fa

Rec: 0.75u

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