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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · SEPTEMBER 18, 2026

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks · 9:40 PM ET
LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -109 Units: 0.25u
65 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
New York Yankees
LEAN
Best Odds
-109
Avg: -117
Units
0.25u
LEAN
Game Time
9:40 PM ET
September 18, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKModerate
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKModerate
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKStrong
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKModerate
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
New York Yankees
Gerrit Cole (R)
3.67
ERA
1.13
WHIP
9.13
K/9
1.72
BB/9
Neutral
115.1 IP this season
vs
HOME
Arizona Diamondbacks
Eduardo Rodriguez (L)
2.62
ERA
1.22
WHIP
6.81
K/9
2.93
BB/9
Hot
178.1 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Arizona Diamondbacks FORM
Neutral
New York Yankees — Last 107-3 Away: 46-32
Arizona Diamondbacks — Last 105-5 Home: 43-35
Travel RiskHigh
Rest AdvantageNeutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
Arizona Diamondbacks Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

77.7°F
Temperature
1.0 mph
Wind NNW
0%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Chase Field

Supporting Signals

  • ✓Strong multi-book market consensus
  • ✓8 preferred books covering the game
  • ✓Heavy public backing (77% bets) for pick
  • ✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.09 vs 3.92
  • ✓Pick side hot — 7-3 last 10
  • ✓Run differential edge last 10: +18 vs +2
  • ✓Good road record 46-32 (59%)
  • ✓Offense edge vs LHP: .739 OPS vs opponent .689
  • ✓Offense hot — 5.08 runs/game last 14 days
  • ✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • ✗Reverse sharp signal: money (22%) lagging bets (77%)
  • ✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • ✗High travel/fatigue risk for away team
  • ✗Pick side is the traveling team

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Strong multi-book market consensus and good away form for the Yankees.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
LEAN
Yankees present a modest lean with situational and offensive advantages (7-3 away form, +18 run differential last 10, .7
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 3
NO BET
Reverse sharp signal with only 22% money on Yankees vs 77% bets, plus high travel risk for the away side.

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