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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · SEPTEMBER 20, 2026

New York Yankees vs Arizona Diamondbacks

New York Yankees @ Arizona Diamondbacks · 4:10 PM ET

LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: +103 Units: 0u

62 /100

AI Score

Our Pick

New York Yankees

LEAN

Best Odds

+103

Avg: -102

Units

LEAN

Game Time

4:10 PM ET

September 20, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score

Market Consensus

OKStrong

Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.

Sharp vs Public

OKModerate

Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.

Pitching Matchup

OKModerate

Quality and recent form of both probable starters.

Situational

OKStrong

Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.

Offensive Matchup

OKStrong

How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.

Weather & Park

OKStrong

Game-time weather and park factor.

AI Panel Review

OKModerate

Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY

New York Yankees

Will Warren (R)

3.89

ERA

1.36

WHIP

8.94

K/9

3.10

BB/9

Neutral

148.0 IP this season

HOME

Arizona Diamondbacks

Corbin Burnes (R)

5.87

ERA

1.17

WHIP

7.04

K/9

2.35

BB/9

Cold

7.2 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM

Hot

Arizona Diamondbacks FORM

Cold

New York Yankees — Last 10	7-3 Away: 47-33
Arizona Diamondbacks — Last 10	4-6 Home: 44-36
Travel Risk	High
Rest Advantage	Neutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue
Arizona Diamondbacks Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

89.4°F

Temperature

4.7 mph

Wind N

Rain Prob.

Low

Weather Risk

Hitter Friendly

Park Effect

Venue: Chase Field

Supporting Signals

✓Underdog value: dog side beats favorite on edge (0.5u vs 0.0u Kelly)
✓Strong multi-book market consensus
✓8 preferred books covering the game
✓Heavy public backing (83% bets) for pick
✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.09 vs 3.91
✓Pick side hot — 7-3 last 10
✓Opponent struggling recently
✓Run differential edge last 10: +22 vs -5
✓Good road record 47-33 (59%)
✓Offense hot — 5.5 runs/game last 14 days
✓Good weather conditions for the game
✓Conditions favor hitters/over (hitter_friendly)

Risk Factors

✗Reverse sharp signal: money (17%) lagging bets (83%)
✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
✗High travel/fatigue risk for away team
✗Pick side is the traveling team

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI Model 1

LEAN

Strong multi-book market consensus with favorable situational factors despite high travel risk.

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 2

LEAN

Yankees offer underdog value with solid pitching edge (Warren 3.89 ERA vs Burnes 5.87 ERA), strong road form (7-3 last 1

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 3

NO BET

Reverse sharp signal with money% (17%) lagging bets% (83%) on Yankees, combined with high travel risk for the away side.

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