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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · AUGUST 18, 2026

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles · 6:36 PM ET
LEAN Pick: 🔒 On Discord until 8 PM ET Best odds: Units: 🔒
64 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
🔒 On Discord until 8 PM ET
LEAN
Best Odds
Avg: —
Units
🔒
LEAN
Game Time
6:36 PM ET
August 18, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKStrong
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKStrong
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKWeak
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKModerate
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
New York Yankees
Carlos Rodón (L)
3.30
ERA
1.25
WHIP
10.10
K/9
5.05
BB/9
Hot
46.1 IP this season
vs
HOME
Baltimore Orioles
Shane Baz (R)
4.00
ERA
1.36
WHIP
7.88
K/9
3.04
BB/9
Neutral
139.1 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM
Neutral
Baltimore Orioles FORM
Neutral
New York Yankees — Last 105-5 Away: 38-28
Baltimore Orioles — Last 105-5 Home: 32-30
Travel RiskHigh
Rest AdvantageNeutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
Baltimore Orioles Bullpen (L3D)3 games High fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

74.5°F
Temperature
5.6 mph
Wind NW
0%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Supporting Signals

  • Strong multi-book market consensus
  • 7 preferred books covering the game
  • Heavy public backing (75% bets) for pick
  • Carlos Rodón in good recent form
  • Opponent bullpen taxed — advantage for pick side
  • Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.07 vs 4.16
  • Good road record 38-28 (58%)
  • Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • High travel/fatigue risk for away team
  • Pick side is the traveling team
  • Offense cold — 2.91 runs/game last 14 days

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Strong multi-book market consensus and heavy public backing, but concerns about the offense and travel fatigue.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
LEAN
Betting splits confirm sharp money alignment (77% money vs 75% bets on Yankees), strong pitching advantage (Rodón 3.3 ER
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 3
LEAN
Pitching edge and confirmed sharp money (77% money vs 75% bets) support a lean, but high travel risk and cold offense ca
Rec: 0.5u

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