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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · AUGUST 19, 2026

New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles

New York Yankees @ Baltimore Orioles · 6:36 PM ET

LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -105 Units: 0u

63 /100

AI Score

Our Pick

New York Yankees

LEAN

Best Odds

-105

Avg: -109

Units

LEAN

Game Time

6:36 PM ET

August 19, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score

Market Consensus

OKStrong

Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.

Sharp vs Public

OKStrong

Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.

Pitching Matchup

OKStrong

Quality and recent form of both probable starters.

Situational

OKStrong

Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.

Offensive Matchup

OKWeak

How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.

Weather & Park

OKStrong

Game-time weather and park factor.

AI Panel Review

OKModerate

Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY

New York Yankees

Will Warren (R)

4.42

ERA

1.41

WHIP

8.92

K/9

3.13

BB/9

Neutral

118.0 IP this season

HOME

Baltimore Orioles

Chris Bassitt (R)

5.11

ERA

1.62

WHIP

5.84

K/9

3.65

BB/9

Cold

61.2 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM

Hot

Baltimore Orioles FORM

Neutral

New York Yankees — Last 10	6-4 Away: 39-28
Baltimore Orioles — Last 10	5-5 Home: 32-31
Travel Risk	High
Rest Advantage	Neutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue
Baltimore Orioles Bullpen (L3D)	3 games High fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

77.4°F

Temperature

3.6 mph

Wind WNW

Rain Prob.

Low

Weather Risk

Neutral

Park Effect

Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Supporting Signals

✓Strong multi-book market consensus
✓7 preferred books covering the game
✓Heavy public backing (77% bets) for pick
✓Pitching matchup favors pick — Will Warren 3/10 vs 0/10
✓Opponent bullpen taxed — advantage for pick side
✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.04 vs 4.13
✓Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
✓Good road record 39-28 (58%)
✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

✗Line moved AGAINST pick since open (-2.6 pts implied prob)
✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
✗High travel/fatigue risk for away team
✗Pick side is the traveling team
✗Offense cold — 3.0 runs/game last 14 days

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI Model 1

LEAN

Strong multi-book market consensus and favorable pitching matchup, despite some risks.

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 2

LEAN

Yankees show modest edge via pitching matchup (Warren vs Bassitt favors NYY) and bullpen quality advantage (3.04 vs 4.13

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 3

LEAN

Line movement against the pick combined with high travel fatigue for the Yankees creates enough uncertainty to limit to

Rec: 0.25u

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