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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · JULY 24, 2026

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies · 6:46 PM ET
LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: +123 Units: 0.25u
68 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
New York Yankees
MIXED
Best Odds
+123
Avg: +118
Units
0.25u
LEAN
Game Time
6:46 PM ET
July 24, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKModerate
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKStrong
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKModerate
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKWeak
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
New York Yankees
Cam Schlittler (R)
2.20
ERA
0.96
WHIP
10.61
K/9
1.83
BB/9
Hot
123.0 IP this season
vs
HOME
Philadelphia Phillies
Jesús Luzardo (L)
3.43
ERA
1.21
WHIP
11.16
K/9
2.89
BB/9
Hot
115.1 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Philadelphia Phillies FORM
Neutral
New York Yankees — Last 107-3 Away: 31-22
Philadelphia Phillies — Last 105-5 Home: 27-25
Travel RiskLow
Rest AdvantageNeutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
Philadelphia Phillies Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

69.4°F
Temperature
3.0 mph
Wind WNW
0%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Supporting Signals

  • ✓Underdog value: dog side beats favorite on edge (0.25u vs 0.0u Kelly)
  • ✓Strong multi-book market consensus
  • ✓7 preferred books covering the game
  • ✓Pitching matchup favors pick — Cam Schlittler 10/10 vs 8/10
  • ✓Cam Schlittler in good recent form
  • ✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.06 vs 4.43
  • ✓Pick side hot — 7-3 last 10
  • ✓Run differential edge last 10: +11 vs -5
  • ✓Good road record 31-22 (58%)
  • ✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • ✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Strong pitching matchup favors the Yankees, but public betting is heavily on the Phillies.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
ERROR
Agent error
AI Model 3
NO BET
Sharp money and bets% both heavily favor Phillies (63%/62%), creating clear reverse signal against Yankees pick with lin

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