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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · JULY 25, 2026

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies · 6:06 PM ET
LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -119 Units: 0u
61 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
New York Yankees
Best Odds
-119
Avg: -124
Units
0u
LEAN
Game Time
6:06 PM ET
July 25, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKStrong
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKModerate
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKModerate
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
PENDINGWeak
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
New York Yankees
Ryan Weathers (L)
4.40
ERA
1.27
WHIP
10.11
K/9
2.55
BB/9
Neutral
102.1 IP this season
vs
HOME
Philadelphia Phillies
Tim Mayza (L)
4.00
ERA
1.16
WHIP
8.80
K/9
2.20
BB/9
Neutral
45.0 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Philadelphia Phillies FORM
Cold
New York Yankees — Last 107-3 Away: 32-22
Philadelphia Phillies — Last 104-6 Home: 27-26
Travel RiskLow
Rest AdvantageNeutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)3 games High fatigue
Philadelphia Phillies Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

69.8°F
Temperature
4.6 mph
Wind ESE
0%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Supporting Signals

  • Strong multi-book market consensus
  • 7 preferred books covering the game
  • Moderate public support (55% bets)
  • Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.04 vs 4.41
  • Pick side hot — 7-3 last 10
  • Opponent struggling recently
  • Better run differential last 10 (+4 vs -7)
  • Good road record 32-22 (59%)
  • Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • Opposing starter rates higher (7/10 vs 5/10)
  • Bullpen taxed for pick side (3 games/3 days)
  • Offense cold — 3.11 runs/game last 14 days

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI review runs at pick publication time.

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