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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · JULY 26, 2026

New York Yankees vs Philadelphia Phillies

New York Yankees @ Philadelphia Phillies · 7:21 PM ET
LEAN Pick: Philadelphia Phillies Best odds: -198 Units: 0u
58 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
Philadelphia Phillies
LEAN
Best Odds
-198
Avg: -210
Units
0u
LEAN
Game Time
7:21 PM ET
July 26, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKStrong
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKStrong
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKWeak
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKModerate
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKModerate
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
New York Yankees
Will Warren (R)
4.00
ERA
1.37
WHIP
8.82
K/9
3.09
BB/9
Neutral
99.0 IP this season
vs
HOME
Philadelphia Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez (L)
2.65
ERA
1.19
WHIP
10.24
K/9
1.70
BB/9
Hot
132.2 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Philadelphia Phillies FORM
Cold
New York Yankees — Last 107-3 Away: 33-22
Philadelphia Phillies — Last 104-6 Home: 27-27
Travel RiskMedium
Rest AdvantageNeutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
Philadelphia Phillies Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

70.5°F
Temperature
4.3 mph
Wind SSW
2%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Supporting Signals

  • ✓Good market coverage across books
  • ✓7 preferred books covering the game
  • ✓Line moved toward pick since open (+2.0 pts implied prob)
  • ✓Heavy public backing (79% bets) for pick
  • ✓Clear pitching edge: Cristopher Sánchez 9/10 (ERA 2.65) vs Will Warren 5/10 (ERA 4.0)
  • ✓Cristopher Sánchez in good recent form
  • ✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

  • ✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • ✗Opponent bullpen stronger: relief ERA 3.01 vs 4.4
  • ✗Pick side cold — 4-6 last 10
  • ✗Opponent on a hot streak

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Good market coverage and line movement towards the pick, but the pick side is cold and facing a strong opponent.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
ERROR
Agent error
AI Model 3
LEAN
Pitching edge with Sánchez over Warren plus line movement toward Phillies, but splits unconfirmed as money% lags bets% a
Rec: 0.25u

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