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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · SEPTEMBER 05, 2026

New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres

New York Yankees @ San Diego Padres · 7:16 PM ET

LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: +114 Units: 0.5u

69 /100

AI Score

Our Pick

New York Yankees

LEAN

Best Odds

+114

Avg: +108

Units

0.5u

LEAN

Game Time

7:16 PM ET

September 05, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score

Market Consensus

OKStrong

Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.

Sharp vs Public

OKStrong

Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.

Pitching Matchup

OKStrong

Quality and recent form of both probable starters.

Situational

OKStrong

Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.

Offensive Matchup

OKStrong

How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.

Weather & Park

OKStrong

Game-time weather and park factor.

AI Panel Review

OKModerate

Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY

New York Yankees

Carlos Rodón (L)

3.20

ERA

1.19

WHIP

9.61

K/9

4.73

BB/9

Hot

59.0 IP this season

HOME

San Diego Padres

Robbie Ray (L)

3.14

ERA

1.30

WHIP

7.61

K/9

4.41

BB/9

Hot

149.0 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM

Hot

San Diego Padres FORM

Cold

New York Yankees — Last 10	6-4 Away: 43-30
San Diego Padres — Last 10	3-7 Home: 42-28
Travel Risk	High
Rest Advantage	Neutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue
San Diego Padres Bullpen (L3D)	2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

73.6°F

Temperature

4.1 mph

Wind NNW

Rain Prob.

Low

Weather Risk

Neutral

Park Effect

Venue: Petco Park

Supporting Signals

✓Underdog value: dog side beats favorite on edge (0.5u vs 0.0u Kelly)
✓Strong multi-book market consensus
✓7 preferred books covering the game
✓Moderate public support (62% bets)
✓Pitching matchup favors pick — Carlos Rodón 7/10 vs 5/10
✓Carlos Rodón in good recent form
✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.09 vs 3.48
✓Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
✓Opponent struggling recently
✓Run differential edge last 10: +16 vs -5
✓Good road record 43-30 (59%)
✓Offense hot — 5.38 runs/game last 14 days
✓Good weather conditions for the game

Risk Factors

✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
✗High travel/fatigue risk for away team
✗Pick side is the traveling team

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI Model 1

LEAN

Moderate public support combined with a favorable pitching matchup and recent team form.

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 2

LEAN

Yankees present modest underdog value with confirmed sharp money support (68% money vs 62% bets), solid pitching edge (R

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 3

LEAN

Sharp money confirmed on Yankees with 68% money vs 62% bets, plus Rodón edge and multi-book consensus, but high travel r

Rec: 0.5u

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