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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · OCTOBER 05, 2026

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees @ Tampa Bay Rays · 8:00 PM ET

STANDARD Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -117 Units: 0.5u

78 /100

AI Score

Our Pick

New York Yankees

APPROVED

Best Odds

-117

Avg: -125

Units

0.5u

STANDARD PICK

Game Time

8:00 PM ET

October 05, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score

Market Consensus

OKStrong

Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.

Sharp vs Public

OKStrong

Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.

Pitching Matchup

OKStrong

Quality and recent form of both probable starters.

Situational

OKStrong

Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.

Offensive Matchup

OKWeak

How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.

Weather & Park

OKStrong

Game-time weather and park factor.

AI Panel Review

OKStrong

Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY

New York Yankees

Cam Schlittler (R)

1.95

ERA

0.92

WHIP

11.11

K/9

2.28

BB/9

Hot

193.2 IP this season

HOME

Tampa Bay Rays

Freddy Peralta (R)

4.42

ERA

1.33

WHIP

8.31

K/9

3.36

BB/9

Neutral

169.0 IP this season

Situational Analysis

New York Yankees FORM

Hot

Tampa Bay Rays FORM

Hot

New York Yankees — Last 10	6-4 Away: 47-34
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 10	6-4 Home: 55-26
Travel Risk	Low
Rest Advantage	Neutral
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)	1 games Low fatigue
Tampa Bay Rays Bullpen (L3D)	1 games Low fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

None°F

Temperature

None mph

Wind None

None%

Rain Prob.

Low

Weather Risk

Neutral

Park Effect

Venue: Tropicana Field · Dome

Supporting Signals

✓Strong multi-book market consensus
✓7 preferred books covering the game
✓Heavy public backing (75% bets) for pick
✓Clear pitching edge: Cam Schlittler 10/10 (ERA 1.95) vs Freddy Peralta 4/10 (ERA 4.42)
✓Cam Schlittler in good recent form
✓Bullpen well rested for pick side
✓Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
✓Good road record 47-34 (58%)
✓Dome stadium — weather not a factor

Risk Factors

✗Opponent bullpen fresh
✗Opponent on a hot streak

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI Model 1

APPROVE

Strong pitching advantage with Cam Schlittler's elite performance compared to Freddy Peralta, combined with solid public

Rec: 1u

AI Model 2

LEAN

Pitching edge is legitimate (Schlittler 1.95 ERA vs Peralta 4.42 ERA), sharp money confirms the pick (87% money vs 75% b

Rec: 0.5u

AI Model 3

APPROVE

Strong pitching edge for Yankees plus confirmed sharp money (87% on pick side) with market consensus across 7 books

Rec: 1u

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