⚾ MLB
Loading scores…
Full Scoreboard →
⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · AUGUST 28, 2026

San Diego Padres vs Tampa Bay Rays

San Diego Padres @ Tampa Bay Rays · 7:11 PM ET
LEAN Pick: Tampa Bay Rays Best odds: -126 Units: 0.25u
64 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
Tampa Bay Rays
LEAN
Best Odds
-126
Avg: -134
Units
0.25u
LEAN
Game Time
7:11 PM ET
August 28, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKStrong
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKModerate
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKModerate
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKStrong
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
OKModerate
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
San Diego Padres
Casey Mize (R)
3.44
ERA
1.09
WHIP
8.17
K/9
2.24
BB/9
Hot
104.2 IP this season
vs
HOME
Tampa Bay Rays
Shane McClanahan (L)
3.10
ERA
1.12
WHIP
8.30
K/9
3.02
BB/9
Hot
107.1 IP this season

Situational Analysis

San Diego Padres FORM
Hot
Tampa Bay Rays FORM
Neutral
San Diego Padres — Last 106-4 Away: 31-34
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 105-5 Home: 43-23
Travel RiskLow
Rest AdvantageNeutral
San Diego Padres Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
Tampa Bay Rays Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

None°F
Temperature
None mph
Wind None
None%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Neutral
Park Effect
Venue: Tropicana Field · Dome

Supporting Signals

  • ✓Strong multi-book market consensus
  • ✓7 preferred books covering the game
  • ✓Heavy public backing (76% bets) for pick
  • ✓Shane McClanahan in good recent form
  • ✓Strong home record 43-23 (65%)
  • ✓Offense edge vs RHP: .753 OPS vs opponent .687
  • ✓Dome stadium — weather not a factor

Risk Factors

  • ✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • ✗Opponent on a hot streak
  • ✗Opponent outscoring: run diff -5 vs +19 last 10

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models
AI Model 1
LEAN
Strong multi-book market consensus with heavy public backing for Tampa Bay Rays.
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 2
LEAN
Betting splits confirm sharp money alignment (80% money vs 76% bets on Rays), indicating smart money backing. Strong hom
Rec: 0.5u
AI Model 3
LEAN
Sharp money confirms with 80% of handle on 76% of bets plus home pitching edge, but overall layers only OK and score is
Rec: 0.5u

Get Daily Picks on Discord

Free picks published every day at 12 PM ET.

💬 Join Free on Discord
← Today's Picks All August 28, 2026 Picks San Diego Padres → Starting Pitchers Results History
No guaranteed wins. Picks are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Bet responsibly. 21+. Past performance does not predict future results. Availability may vary by jurisdiction. Always check local laws.