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⚾ MLB · AI PREDICTION · SEPTEMBER 22, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays @ New York Yankees (Game 2) · 7:05 PM ET
LEAN Pick: New York Yankees Best odds: -124 Units: 0u
62 /100
AI Score
Our Pick
New York Yankees
Best Odds
-124
Avg: -132
Units
0u
LEAN
Game Time
7:05 PM ET
September 22, 2026

Multi-Layer AI Analysis

Each layer scored independently, then combined for the final confidence score
Market Consensus
OKStrong
Aggregated moneyline odds across many sportsbooks — line value and pricing edge.
Sharp vs Public
OKModerate
Professional money vs public sentiment divergence on this game.
Pitching Matchup
OKModerate
Quality and recent form of both probable starters.
Situational
OKStrong
Rest, travel, bullpen condition, home/away record, and recent form.
Offensive Matchup
OKStrong
How each lineup profiles against the pitching it faces tonight.
Weather & Park
OKStrong
Game-time weather and park factor.
AI Panel Review
PENDINGWeak
Consensus vote from a panel of independent AI models.

Starting Pitcher Matchup

AWAY
Tampa Bay Rays
Drew Rasmussen (R)
2.72
ERA
0.93
WHIP
8.87
K/9
1.58
BB/9
Hot
165.1 IP this season
vs
HOME
New York Yankees
Max Fried (L)
2.63
ERA
0.98
WHIP
8.49
K/9
2.63
BB/9
Hot
106.0 IP this season

Situational Analysis

Tampa Bay Rays FORM
Hot
New York Yankees FORM
Hot
Tampa Bay Rays — Last 108-2 Away: 40-34
New York Yankees — Last 106-4 Home: 42-32
Travel RiskLow
Rest AdvantageNeutral
Tampa Bay Rays Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue
New York Yankees Bullpen (L3D)2 games Medium fatigue

Weather & Park Conditions

58.1°F
Temperature
11.2 mph
Wind NNE
0%
Rain Prob.
Low
Weather Risk
Hitter Friendly
Park Effect
Venue: Yankee Stadium

Supporting Signals

  • ✓Strong multi-book market consensus
  • ✓8 preferred books covering the game
  • ✓Heavy public backing (70% bets) for pick
  • ✓Max Fried in good recent form
  • ✓Bullpen quality edge: relief ERA 3.14 vs 4.01
  • ✓Pick side hot — 6-4 last 10
  • ✓Offense hot — 5.58 runs/game last 14 days
  • ✓Good weather conditions for the game
  • ✓Conditions favor hitters/over (hitter_friendly)

Risk Factors

  • ✗Reverse sharp signal: money (46%) lagging bets (70%)
  • ✗Doubleheader — bullpen fatigue elevated
  • ✗Moderate bullpen usage for pick side
  • ✗Opponent on a hot streak
  • ✗Weaker run differential last 10 (+13 vs +25)

AI Review Panel

Independent analysis from a panel of AI models

AI review runs at pick publication time.

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