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El motor de NFL está en validación, y corre a la vista: el pick, el precio al que lo registramos, el precio de cierre y el resultado — todo aquí, desde la primera semana. Nada de esto cuenta al récord de MLB.
El CLV compara el precio de consenso al registrar el pick contra el precio de consenso al cierre. Las unidades asumen 1 unidad plana por pick — sin escalera de stake mientras el motor no esté probado.
| Fecha | Partido | Pick | Registrado | Cierre | CLV | Resultado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | WAS @ SF | SF -7.5
spread |
100.0 | -113.0 | +1.83pp | L |
| 2026-10-19 | WAS @ SF | under 51.5
total |
-105.0 | -109.0 | -0.23pp | W |
| 2026-10-18 | LAC @ KC | KC ML
moneyline |
-391.0 | -425.0 | +0.18pp | W |
| 2026-10-18 | CAR @ PHI | CAR -3
spread |
-108.0 | -115.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-10-18 | DAL @ GB | DAL ML
moneyline |
101.0 | -112.0 | +2.09pp | L |
| 2026-10-18 | BUF @ LV | BUF -5.5
spread |
-105.0 | -109.0 | -1.12pp | L |
| 2026-10-18 | NYJ @ NE | NE -7.5
spread |
-102.0 | -113.0 | -0.22pp | L |
| 2026-10-18 | PIT @ TB | PIT -2.5
spread |
100.0 | -112.0 | -0.22pp | W |
| 2026-10-18 | NO @ NYG | NYG ML
moneyline |
-102.0 | -108.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-10-18 | BAL @ CLE | BAL ML
moneyline |
-169.0 | -174.0 | -0.13pp | L |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA @ DEN | DEN ML
moneyline |
125.0 | 124.0 | -0.40pp | W |
| 2026-10-15 | SEA @ DEN | under 40.5
total |
-105.0 | -109.0 | -0.23pp | W |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF @ LA | BUF ML
moneyline |
154.0 | 147.0 | +0.16pp | W |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF @ LA | under 54.5
total |
-102.0 | -110.0 | +0.69pp | L |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL @ ATL | BAL +3
spread |
100.0 | -115.0 | -0.85pp | W |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN @ LAC | DEN ML
moneyline |
-185.0 | -190.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE @ NYJ | CLE ML
moneyline |
125.0 | 118.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-10-11 | IND @ PIT | PIT ML
moneyline |
-149.0 | -157.0 | +0.31pp | W |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU @ TEN | TEN +6.5
spread |
100.0 | -105.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN @ MIA | CIN ML
moneyline |
-357.0 | -367.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-10-11 | LV @ NE | LV ML
moneyline |
160.0 | 156.0 | +0.30pp | L |
| 2026-10-11 | DET @ ARI | DET ML
moneyline |
-233.0 | -249.0 | +0.17pp | W |
| 2026-10-08 | TB @ DAL | TB +9
spread |
-105.0 | -115.0 | +0.66pp | W |
| 2026-10-08 | TB @ DAL | over 48.5
total |
-108.0 | -119.0 | +1.29pp | L |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL @ NO | ATL ML
moneyline |
105.0 | -103.0 | +1.23pp | W |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL @ NO | over 47.5
total |
-110.0 | -112.0 | -1.09pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC @ SEA | SEA -7.5
spread |
-102.0 | -107.0 | -0.92pp | L |
| 2026-10-04 | KC @ LV | KC ML
moneyline |
-215.0 | -227.0 | -0.09pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ @ CHI | CHI ML
moneyline |
-178.0 | -192.0 | +0.48pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | NE @ BUF | BUF -7
spread |
100.0 | -109.0 | +0.23pp | L |
| 2026-10-04 | JAX @ CIN | JAX ML
moneyline |
123.0 | 119.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | DEN @ SF | SF ML
moneyline |
-147.0 | -160.0 | +0.60pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL @ HOU | DAL ML
moneyline |
132.0 | 127.0 | +0.19pp | W |
| 2026-10-04 | GB @ TB | GB ML
moneyline |
-156.0 | -156.0 | -1.33pp | W |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL @ GB | GB ML
moneyline |
-250.0 | -246.0 | -0.89pp | L |
| 2026-09-24 | ATL @ GB | over 43.5
total |
-104.0 | -112.0 | +0.45pp | W |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG @ LA | NYG ML
moneyline |
265.0 | 241.0 | +0.67pp | L |
| 2026-09-21 | NYG @ LA | over 47.5
total |
-111.0 | -111.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-09-20 | CIN @ HOU | CIN ML
moneyline |
135.0 | 126.0 | +0.19pp | W |
| 2026-09-20 | JAX @ DEN | JAX ML
moneyline |
130.0 | 126.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-09-20 | MIN @ CHI | CHI ML
moneyline |
-215.0 | -220.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-09-20 | SEA @ ARI | ARI +3.5
spread |
100.0 | -100.0 | -1.46pp | L |
| 2026-09-20 | NO @ BAL | BAL ML
moneyline |
-385.0 | -420.0 | +0.11pp | L |
| 2026-09-20 | MIA @ SF | SF ML
moneyline |
-1000.0 | -1001.0 | -0.20pp | W |
| 2026-09-20 | GB @ NYJ | NYJ +3.5
spread |
-112.0 | -115.0 | +0.22pp | W |
| 2026-09-20 | CAR @ ATL | CAR ML
moneyline |
-145.0 | -147.0 | -0.49pp | W |
| 2026-09-17 | DET @ BUF | BUF ML
moneyline |
-238.0 | -248.0 | +0.17pp | W |
| 2026-09-17 | DET @ BUF | over 54.5
total |
-116.0 | -118.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN @ KC | KC ML
moneyline |
-127.0 | -134.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN @ KC | over 43.5
total |
-109.0 | -112.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-09-13 | GB @ MIN | MIN ML
moneyline |
-110.0 | -128.0 | +0.19pp | W |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA @ LV | MIA ML
moneyline |
155.0 | 140.0 | +0.00pp | L |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI @ CAR | CHI ML
moneyline |
-143.0 | -162.0 | -0.57pp | W |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI @ LAC | ARI ML
moneyline |
475.0 | 379.0 | +0.17pp | W |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL @ PIT | PIT ML
moneyline |
-161.0 | -276.0 | -0.07pp | W |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL @ NYG | DAL ML
moneyline |
-149.0 | -167.0 | +0.43pp | L |
| 2026-09-13 | WAS @ PHI | PHI ML
moneyline |
-222.0 | -257.0 | -0.23pp | W |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ @ TEN | NYJ ML
moneyline |
125.0 | 101.0 | +0.00pp | W |
| 2026-09-10 | SF @ LA | over 48.5
total |
-105.0 | -114.0 | +1.35pp | L |
| 2026-09-10 | SF @ LA | SF ML
moneyline |
170.0 | 168.0 | -0.28pp | W |
| 2026-09-09 | NE @ SEA | NE ML
moneyline |
165.0 | 149.0 | +0.16pp | L |
| 2026-09-09 | NE @ SEA | over 44.5
total |
-105.0 | -108.0 | -0.23pp | L |
Cada pick de NFL se publica y se rastrea, pero no forma parte de nuestro récord de MLB y no lleva más exposición que una unidad plana. Es lo que dice el motor mientras demostramos, en público, si bate la línea de cierre.
En 40 o 50 picks, ganar o perder es sobre todo ruido. Que el mercado se mueva hacia tu lado es una señal más rápida y más exigente. Medimos precio de consenso contra precio de consenso: comparar el mejor precio contra un promedio infla el número.
Cuando el motor pase su puerta: batir el cierre en al menos el 55% de un mínimo de 40 picks medidos. Por debajo del 52%, la NFL se queda como contexto gratuito y lo diremos.